London now has more pupils sitting in temporary classrooms — prefabs, portakabins, repurposed storage blocks — than at any point since the Second World War rebuilding programmes of the late 1940s. That single fact, buried in a Department for Education capital conditions survey published last autumn, explains much of what parents, teachers and local councillors have been arguing about for the better part of two years.
The timing matters because the Starmer government has staked a significant portion of its domestic credibility on a schools rebuilding programme it inherited, modified and is now trying to fund through a Treasury that already has planning reform, NHS waiting lists and defence spending competing for the same limited headroom. Education questions that looked tractable in 2023 are pressing hard in the summer of 2026.
How the Money Dried Up
The story begins, most clearly, around 2010. The coalition government's spending review that autumn effectively froze per-pupil school funding in cash terms for the better part of six years. In London, where costs have always run higher — support staff wages, rents on school buildings, the sheer density of need in boroughs like Tower Hamlets and Newham — that freeze hit differently than it did in county market towns. Headteachers at schools including Mulberry School for Girls in Whitechapel and Morpeth Secondary in Bethnal Green were by 2015 cutting teaching assistant posts by the dozen and cannibalising departmental budgets to cover basic utilities.
The austerity squeeze dovetailed with a separate crisis in school buildings. The Building Schools for the Future programme, a £55 billion Labour initiative launched in 2003 to replace crumbling Victorian-era stock across England, was cancelled by Michael Gove in May 2010. Around 700 schools that had been promised new buildings were told the contracts were gone. Many were in London. Forty-two schools in the capital were on the active programme list when it was cancelled; a number of them are still waiting for adequate replacements.
In 2021 the government launched the School Rebuilding Programme, targeting 500 schools in the worst structural condition. By July 2026, around 300 have received confirmed funding commitments; fewer than half of those have broken ground. The pace has frustrated councils including Islington and Lewisham, which have school buildings assessed as having reinforced autoclaved aerated concrete — RAAC — in load-bearing structures.
The Pandemic Dip and the Catch-Up Gaps
On top of the infrastructure problem sits the attainment one. The National Tutoring Programme, launched in 2020 with an initial £350 million to address learning lost during school closures, reached only around 60 percent of its participation targets in its first two years before being restructured and its budget cut back to £200 million by 2023. In London, delivery was patchy. Hammersmith & Fulham reported strong take-up through partnerships with the charity Tutor Trust. Neighbouring boroughs logged much lower numbers.
University applications from London state school pupils did recover after the pandemic dip, reaching 38.9 applications per 100 eighteen-year-olds in 2025 according to UCAS data — still below the 41.2 recorded in 2019. The gap is narrower in London than in other English regions, partly because the capital has a denser network of sixth-form colleges and free schools established under the academy expansion of the 2010s. King's College London and University College London have both run outreach programmes in boroughs north of the river for more than a decade, sustaining some pipeline into higher education.
The broader funding picture shifted again in September 2024 when the government raised the core schools budget by £2.3 billion, the largest single-year increase since 2008. Whether that amount actually reaches London classrooms — or is absorbed by pay settlements and energy costs — is the question heads and governors will be asking when the new academic year begins in September. Families looking for clarity on catchment boundaries, places and building works at specific schools should contact their local authority directly; the Department for Education's school performance data portal, updated quarterly, shows current Ofsted status and capital project timelines by postcode.